As for now Mukhtar Ablyazov is certainly thrown out of the Kazakhstan politics. In absence of his own political power he tries to influence the outcome of the parliament election from the outside. There is little hope that it will truly work out well. Moreover, Mukhtar Ablyazov may face troublesome prospects in France where he resides.
‘Smart voting’ is being reinvented and reused by Mukhtar Ablyazov. Being thrown out of local politics he is forced to use such tricks. In fact it is a win/win for him. If smart voting fails he will proclaim the elections void. If it wins he will count it as own victory. However he has some other troubles besides of January election campaign in Kazakhstan. He may go to prison for another term. It depends on Felix Sater conviction.
Mukhtar Ablyazov works around the clock to promote the idea of smart voting. The parliamentary elections will be held on January 10. The exact results of his efforts are yet to be measured. Sociology is virtually non-existent. ‘Votes’ held at anonymous channels are unreliable and the local polls held by parties are heavily influenced by those who paid for the research.
At least we could easily say that if the Aq-Zhol party will fail at the polls, and the ruling Nur-Otan party will prevail it will be the end for Mukhtar Ablyazov as a politician. He bet everything on the technology. Not everybody in the Kazakhstani opposition agrees with it. Some important opposition figures have dismissed the idea as farce and lunacy.
Meanwhile, Mukhtar Ablyazov’s legal proceedings aren’t in the best shape. As soon as five days after the elections the case of Felix Sater will be heard in court. It is an important case for the whole BTA Bank heist and money laundering accomplices and the whole criminal community of Eastern Europe and Central Asia. If the prosecution will succeed it will open the way for prosecution of Ilyas and Victor Khrapunov and Mukhtar Ablyazov.
Mukhtar Ablyazov’s case investigated in France
Mukhtar Ablyazov is desperately trying to distance himself from the ruling regime he fights against. It comes in the form of harsh rhetoric. But his very origins and business interests are interwoven with the ruling elite, and Ablyazov only wants to recover the lost political assets, not to change the system towards more democratic. After all Ablyazov fights relentlessly with those who dares to challenge his autocratic rule. The last series of events underlined just how closely Mukhtar Ablyazov is in bed with the proclaimed enemies. His name was spotted with another oligarch close to Nursultan Nazarbayev. It was proven that they were accomplices in the BTA Bank embezzlement.
With French investigation evolving Mukhtar Ablyazov is closer to the prison. If Felix Sater would be convicted he would definitely buy some freedom tokens in exchange for the info of his Kazakhstani connection and his role in Donald Trump affairs.
The rapidly changing political landscape forces Mukhtar Ablyazov to seek support. However his deep involvement in shady and criminal world of offshore finances made his person toxic for any world leader.
Mukhtar Ablyazov has an effective search warrant issued by Great Britain. As for now it is blocked by his asylum status in France.